Alejandro Arce — home Thinking in Public
No. 18 · Future

AI, then robotics, then quantum, then space

This started as a tweet →

We're currently in the AI era. Then it's robotics. Then it's quantum computing. Then it will be space.

I'm not trying to predict the exact order or the dates. The point is the shape: the waves are lined up, and each one is big enough to reorganize work, money and attention the way the internet did.

Now
AI
Next
Robotics
Then
Quantum
Then
Space

The lineup — each wave arrives before the last one is done

And here's the part you can already bet on: each wave will arrive with the same headline. The end of jobs. The end of careers. The end of everything. AI is getting that headline right now. Robots will get it next — it'll be louder, because robots have faces.

Every wave brings

The fear

  • "This one ends the jobs"
  • "Too late to start now"
  • Wait for it to settle
Said about the printing press, the tractor, the internet — every time.
Every wave brings

The opportunity

  • New tools nobody has mastered yet
  • New problems nobody is solving yet
  • Start while everyone else is scared
The fear is the tell — it shows up right before the upside.

Same wave, two readings — you only get to pick one

The fear isn't wrong about the disruption — jobs really do change, industries really do fold. It's wrong about the ending. Every one of these waves created more than it erased, and the people who did best weren't the smartest ones. They were the ones who showed up early and stayed curious while everyone else waited for permission.

That's the whole plan here: ride the AI wave hands-on, and be standing on the beach when the robots walk out of the water.

The wave doesn't ask permission. It's up to us to be part of it.

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